Infrastructure
and housing
boom fueling
cement demand.
India has
a large
pent up
demand for
creating
new and
modernization
of infrastructural
facilities
like Highways,
Special
Economic
Zones, Power
Plants,
Ports, Airports
etc. There
is an acute
shortage
of housing
in most
cities in
India. The
sustained
GDP growth
over 8%
in the recent
years has
generated
on-going
investments
in industrial
projects
across India.
High
capacity
utilization
in the
industry
at present
In FY07,
the available
operational
capacity
was 159
million
Tonnes.
Against
this the
domestic
consumption
was 149
million
tonnes
and exports
of 9 million
tonnes,
showing
a capacity
utilization
of 99%.
Cement
plant
is a regional
business
Most plants
are located
close
to lime
stone
deposits
(1 Tonne
of cement
needs
1.5 t
of lime
stone);
Coal is
another
major
raw material
and fuel
source.
High transportation
cost relative
to low
price
Industrial
historically
fragmented
- Consolidation
underway
The regional
play and
historic
industrial
licensing
policy
created
several
small
units
owned
by regional
small
companies.
Progressive
liberalization
leading
to total
de licensing
has coincided
with major
growth
in demand.
This has
led stronger
player
to set
up(and
expend)
plants
of large
capacities.
There
has been
consolidation
at the
top through
acquisitions,
participating
by multi
national
giants
such as
Holcim
and Lafarge
and our
Indian
giants
like the
Aditya
Birla
group.
Strong
demand
and firm
prices
encouraging
capacity
addition
High capacity
utilization
helped
firm prices
in the
years
2006-07
and boosted
cement
company
profits
and valuations.
This has
led to
several
existing
players
(and some
new ones)
announce
plants
for new
green
field
and brown
field
projects.
It is
projected
that about
80 to
90 million
tonnes
of new
capacity
would
be set
up by
FY09-10,
taking
the total
capacity
to about
240 million
tonnes.
Future
cement
demand
to follow
GDP growth
and exceed
if India
follows
the Chinese
model!
India
has registered
over 8%
GDP growth
in the
last two
years.
There
is universal
belief
that this
momentum
is irreversible.
Such a
sustained
growth
requires
enormous
construction
work and
hence
corresponding
cement
supply.
Development
momentum,
as seen
in china
could
be set
the construction
activity
at a faster
than economic
growth
to serve
as a leading
charge.
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